Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians (Game 2)
2026-07-18 · 7:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians (Game 2) at Progressive Field on 2026-07-18. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.9, Cleveland Guardians 4.52. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 46%, Pittsburgh Pirates 54%. Projected total runs: 9.42.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
54% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.