Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins

2026-08-11

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.92, Miami Marlins 3.97. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 51%, Pittsburgh Pirates 49%. Projected total runs: 7.88.

Pittsburgh Pirates

3.9

Predicted runs

49% to win

Miami Marlins

4.0

Predicted runs

51% to win

Projected total: 7.9 runs

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