Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins
2026-08-13 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-08-13. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5.15, Miami Marlins 4.4. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 43%, Pittsburgh Pirates 57%. Projected total runs: 9.56.
Pittsburgh Pirates
5.2
Predicted runs
57% to win
Miami Marlins
4.4
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.