Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:58 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals

2026-07-05

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5.8, Washington Nationals 4.9. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 42%, Pittsburgh Pirates 58%. Projected total runs: 10.7.

Pittsburgh Pirates
5.8
Predicted runs
58% to win
Washington Nationals
4.9
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 10.7 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.