Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
2026-08-24 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-08-24. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.91, San Diego Padres 4.12. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 42%, Pittsburgh Pirates 58%. Projected total runs: 9.02.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
58% to win
San Diego Padres
4.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.