Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-06-29. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.92, Philadelphia Phillies 3.61. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 38%, Pittsburgh Pirates 62%. Projected total runs: 8.54.

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.