Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Texas Rangers
2026-04-21 · Globe Life Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on 2026-04-21. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 7.07, Texas Rangers 4.32. Model win probability: Texas Rangers 29%, Pittsburgh Pirates 71%. Projected total runs: 11.38.
Pittsburgh Pirates
7.1
Predicted runs
71% to win
Texas Rangers
4.3
Predicted runs
29% to win
Projected total: 11.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.