Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Texas Rangers
2026-04-23 · Globe Life Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on 2026-04-23. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5.71, Texas Rangers 3.77. Model win probability: Texas Rangers 34%, Pittsburgh Pirates 66%. Projected total runs: 9.48.
Pittsburgh Pirates
5.7
Predicted runs
66% to win
Texas Rangers
3.8
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.