Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-08-01 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-08-01. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5.29, Cincinnati Reds 4.9. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 47%, Pittsburgh Pirates 53%. Projected total runs: 10.19.
Pittsburgh Pirates
5.3
Predicted runs
53% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.9
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.