Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
2026-07-20 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-07-20. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.69, New York Yankees 4.16. Model win probability: New York Yankees 45%, Pittsburgh Pirates 55%. Projected total runs: 8.85.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.7
Predicted runs
55% to win
New York Yankees
4.2
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.