Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
2026-07-21 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-07-21. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.66, New York Yankees 5.36. Model win probability: New York Yankees 57%, Pittsburgh Pirates 43%. Projected total runs: 10.02.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.7
Predicted runs
43% to win
New York Yankees
5.4
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.