Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
2026-07-22 · 1:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.89, New York Yankees 5.15. Model win probability: New York Yankees 53%, Pittsburgh Pirates 47%. Projected total runs: 10.04.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
47% to win
New York Yankees
5.2
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.