Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees (Game 2)
2026-07-22 · 7:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees (Game 2) at Yankee Stadium on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5.27, New York Yankees 5.59. Model win probability: New York Yankees 53%, Pittsburgh Pirates 47%. Projected total runs: 10.86.
Pittsburgh Pirates
5.3
Predicted runs
47% to win
New York Yankees
5.6
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 10.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.