Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
2026-05-17 · 02:10 PM ET · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Texas Rangers at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-05-17. Predicted final score: Texas Rangers 3.75, Houston Astros 4.79. Model win probability: Houston Astros 60%, Texas Rangers 40%. Projected total runs: 8.54.
Texas Rangers
3.8
Predicted runs
40% to win
Houston Astros
4.8
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.