Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-12 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-12. Predicted final score: Texas Rangers 5.68, Boston Red Sox 3.75. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 34%, Texas Rangers 66%. Projected total runs: 9.43.
Texas Rangers
5.7
Predicted runs
66% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.8
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.