Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-13 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-13. Predicted final score: Texas Rangers 6, Boston Red Sox 3.19. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 26%, Texas Rangers 74%. Projected total runs: 9.19.
Texas Rangers
6.0
Predicted runs
74% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.2
Predicted runs
26% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.