Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-14 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-14. Predicted final score: Texas Rangers 5.45, Boston Red Sox 3.78. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 36%, Texas Rangers 64%. Projected total runs: 9.23.
Texas Rangers
5.5
Predicted runs
64% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.8
Predicted runs
36% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.