Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees
2026-05-05 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Texas Rangers at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-05. Predicted final score: Texas Rangers 3.76, New York Yankees 5.1. Model win probability: New York Yankees 64%, Texas Rangers 36%. Projected total runs: 8.86.
Texas Rangers
3.8
Predicted runs
36% to win
New York Yankees
5.1
Predicted runs
64% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.