Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees
2026-05-06 · 07:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Texas Rangers at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-06. Predicted final score: Texas Rangers 3.25, New York Yankees 4.93. Model win probability: New York Yankees 67%, Texas Rangers 33%. Projected total runs: 8.18.
Texas Rangers
3.3
Predicted runs
33% to win
New York Yankees
4.9
Predicted runs
67% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.