Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees
2026-05-07 · 12:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Texas Rangers at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-07. Predicted final score: Texas Rangers 3.79, New York Yankees 5.44. Model win probability: New York Yankees 68%, Texas Rangers 32%. Projected total runs: 9.23.
Texas Rangers
3.8
Predicted runs
32% to win
New York Yankees
5.4
Predicted runs
68% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.