Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros
2026-07-05 · 03:30 PM ET · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4.21, Houston Astros 3.54. Model win probability: Houston Astros 43%, Tampa Bay Rays 57%. Projected total runs: 7.75.
Tampa Bay Rays
4.2
Predicted runs
57% to win
Houston Astros
3.5
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.