Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics
2026-08-11 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4.89, Athletics 3.71. Model win probability: Athletics 38%, Tampa Bay Rays 62%. Projected total runs: 8.6.
Tampa Bay Rays
4.9
Predicted runs
62% to win
Athletics
3.7
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
