Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics
2026-08-12 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-08-12. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4.66, Athletics 3.26. Model win probability: Athletics 35%, Tampa Bay Rays 65%. Projected total runs: 7.92.
Tampa Bay Rays
4.7
Predicted runs
65% to win
Athletics
3.3
Predicted runs
35% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.