Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-05-12 · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.63, Toronto Blue Jays 3.99. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 54%, Tampa Bay Rays 46%. Projected total runs: 7.62.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.6
Predicted runs
46% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
4.0
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.