Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-05-13 · 07:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 2.79, Toronto Blue Jays 3.56. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 60%, Tampa Bay Rays 40%. Projected total runs: 6.34.
Tampa Bay Rays
2.8
Predicted runs
40% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.6
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 6.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.