Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-07-20 · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-07-20. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.34, Toronto Blue Jays 3.21. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 48%, Tampa Bay Rays 52%. Projected total runs: 6.56.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.3
Predicted runs
52% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.2
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 6.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.