Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-04-29 · 01:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-04-29. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.61, Cleveland Guardians 4.47. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 60%, Tampa Bay Rays 40%. Projected total runs: 8.09.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.6
Predicted runs
40% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.5
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.