Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners

2026-08-07

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners on 2026-08-07. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 2.99, Seattle Mariners 2.79. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 48%, Tampa Bay Rays 52%. Projected total runs: 5.78.

Tampa Bay Rays
3.0
Predicted runs
52% to win
Seattle Mariners
2.8
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 5.8 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.