Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners
2026-08-09 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-08-09. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.83, Seattle Mariners 3.36. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 44%, Tampa Bay Rays 56%. Projected total runs: 7.19.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.8
Predicted runs
56% to win
Seattle Mariners
3.4
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs
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