Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Miami Marlins
2026-06-06 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-06-06. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.13, Miami Marlins 4.16. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 62%, Tampa Bay Rays 38%. Projected total runs: 7.3.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.1
Predicted runs
38% to win
Miami Marlins
4.2
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.