Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-25 · 01:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-25. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.83, Baltimore Orioles 3.92. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 52%, Tampa Bay Rays 48%. Projected total runs: 7.75.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.8
Predicted runs
48% to win
Baltimore Orioles
3.9
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.