Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-26 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-26. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 5.06, Baltimore Orioles 5.1. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 50%, Tampa Bay Rays 50%. Projected total runs: 10.17.
Tampa Bay Rays
5.1
Predicted runs
50% to win
Baltimore Orioles
5.1
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.