Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + NHL + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-08-21
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4, Baltimore Orioles 4.13. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 51%, Tampa Bay Rays 49%. Projected total runs: 8.12.
Tampa Bay Rays
4.0
Predicted runs
49% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.