Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-09-26. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4.11, Philadelphia Phillies 4.08. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 50%, Tampa Bay Rays 50%. Projected total runs: 8.19.

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.