Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox (Game 2)
2026-07-17 · 7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (Game 2) at Fenway Park on 2026-07-17. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.9, Boston Red Sox 4.24. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 54%, Tampa Bay Rays 46%. Projected total runs: 8.15.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.9
Predicted runs
46% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.2
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.