Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies

2026-08-04

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies on 2026-08-04. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4.28, Colorado Rockies 5.29. Model win probability: Colorado Rockies 61%, Tampa Bay Rays 39%. Projected total runs: 9.57.

Tampa Bay Rays
4.3
Predicted runs
39% to win
Colorado Rockies
5.3
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.