Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies
2026-08-04 · Coors Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on 2026-08-04. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4.86, Colorado Rockies 5.9. Model win probability: Colorado Rockies 61%, Tampa Bay Rays 39%. Projected total runs: 10.76.
Tampa Bay Rays
4.9
Predicted runs
39% to win
Colorado Rockies
5.9
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 10.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
