Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals
2026-07-02 · 07:40 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-07-02. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4.63, Kansas City Royals 4.31. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 46%, Tampa Bay Rays 54%. Projected total runs: 8.94.
Tampa Bay Rays
4.6
Predicted runs
54% to win
Kansas City Royals
4.3
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.