Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
2026-05-22 · 07:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.53, New York Yankees 5.05. Model win probability: New York Yankees 65%, Tampa Bay Rays 35%. Projected total runs: 8.58.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.5
Predicted runs
35% to win
New York Yankees
5.0
Predicted runs
65% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.