Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
2026-05-23 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.59, New York Yankees 4.37. Model win probability: New York Yankees 60%, Tampa Bay Rays 40%. Projected total runs: 7.96.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.6
Predicted runs
40% to win
New York Yankees
4.4
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
