Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
2026-05-24 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-24. Predicted final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3.19, New York Yankees 4.54. Model win probability: New York Yankees 64%, Tampa Bay Rays 36%. Projected total runs: 7.73.
Tampa Bay Rays
3.2
Predicted runs
36% to win
New York Yankees
4.5
Predicted runs
64% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.