Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels
2026-07-05 · Angel Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.15, Los Angeles Angels 3.95. Model win probability: Los Angeles Angels 49%, Boston Red Sox 51%. Projected total runs: 8.1.
Boston Red Sox
4.2
Predicted runs
51% to win
Los Angeles Angels
4.0
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.