Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Athletics
2026-07-28 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-07-28. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.29, Athletics 3.31. Model win probability: Athletics 40%, Boston Red Sox 60%. Projected total runs: 7.6.
Boston Red Sox
4.3
Predicted runs
60% to win
Athletics
3.3
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.