Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-04-28 · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-04-28. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.13, Toronto Blue Jays 4.87. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 58%, Boston Red Sox 42%. Projected total runs: 9.01.
Boston Red Sox
4.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
4.9
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
