Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-04-29 · 03:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-04-29. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.18, Toronto Blue Jays 6.87. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 74%, Boston Red Sox 26%. Projected total runs: 11.05.
Boston Red Sox
4.2
Predicted runs
26% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
6.9
Predicted runs
74% to win
Projected total: 11.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.