Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-08-10 · 07:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-08-10. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 5.2, Toronto Blue Jays 3.75. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 36%, Boston Red Sox 64%. Projected total runs: 8.95.
Boston Red Sox
5.2
Predicted runs
64% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.8
Predicted runs
36% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.