Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-08-12 · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-08-12. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 5.47, Toronto Blue Jays 3.68. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 35%, Boston Red Sox 65%. Projected total runs: 9.15.
Boston Red Sox
5.5
Predicted runs
65% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.7
Predicted runs
35% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.