Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves
2026-05-16 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-05-16. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 3.05, Atlanta Braves 3.96. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 60%, Boston Red Sox 40%. Projected total runs: 7.01.
Boston Red Sox
3.0
Predicted runs
40% to win
Atlanta Braves
4.0
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.