Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves
2026-05-17 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-05-17. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 3.69, Atlanta Braves 6.37. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 74%, Boston Red Sox 26%. Projected total runs: 10.05.
Boston Red Sox
3.7
Predicted runs
26% to win
Atlanta Braves
6.4
Predicted runs
74% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.