Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-05-29 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-05-29. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 3.98, Cleveland Guardians 4.26. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 53%, Boston Red Sox 47%. Projected total runs: 8.23.
Boston Red Sox
4.0
Predicted runs
47% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.3
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.