Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners
2026-06-21 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-06-21. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 3.17, Seattle Mariners 3.54. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 54%, Boston Red Sox 46%. Projected total runs: 6.71.
Boston Red Sox
3.2
Predicted runs
46% to win
Seattle Mariners
3.5
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 6.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.